Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2824.123592 3055.460175 3290.089661 3545.556145 3815.548781 4092.086232 4396.412615
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2434.000357 2776.069827 3136.286469 3542.660985 3987.113458 4457.222485 4990.820764
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2225.802736 2639.089259 3086.349023 3603.829669 4183.491020 4810.263107 5536.629087
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2016.204937 2473.548131 2980.396773 3579.651806 4264.585684 5018.869075 5908.051615
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1904.414468 2405.194568 2971.428240 3653.057936 4445.151198 5330.499068 6388.582170
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1781.408413 2312.590125 2924.645035 3673.868391 4557.859224 5559.367237 6771.145922
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1665.341151 2219.267749 2869.022477 3676.930447 4643.669360 5752.568870 7109.423720
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1506.535499 2064.091521 2730.493626 3572.683941 4595.143885 5782.858350 7252.740912
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1472.491767 2060.391862 2773.085809 3684.786635 4803.564709 6115.269896 7752.093736
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1423.152261 2033.744230 2784.448851 3756.344587 4961.564302 6387.407500 8180.948499
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1344.905387 1965.495787 2739.953207 3755.273967 5028.161225 6548.150339 8475.897819
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1260.001483 1884.047382 2674.691012 3724.409722 5054.830657 6658.253286 8708.352898
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1206.676638 1843.106469 2660.794091 3759.052723 5164.839819 6873.274183 9073.585553
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1141.232744 1782.696696 2619.025540 3755.914715 5226.089441 7028.109547 9366.234630
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1107.296898 1763.512859 2629.913184 3819.805770 5371.869361 7287.980264 9789.617459
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1041.806106 1697.021155 2574.791754 3794.553197 5401.316476 7401.175535 10030.495432
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1018.505228 1688.866829 2597.267455 3871.216533 5562.207973 7680.149918 10479.715050
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 977.138758 1652.653759 2579.699297 3892.947326 5650.675080 7867.259469 10814.286242
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 932.002306 1608.755437 2549.618767 3896.144687 5713.631431 8021.325524 11107.374943
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 852.648509 1510.371427 2439.869932 3787.275264 5625.057192 7978.355092 11147.975845
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 850.400391 1527.956291 2494.084681 3904.347890 5838.731045 8326.998525 11691.235882
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 835.081548 1524.687093 2517.927149 3979.057937 5995.811305 8603.120178 12143.219947
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 797.621471 1485.439229 2488.422536 3977.940271 6049.593788 8744.239071 12421.599764